Introduction: What Returns Can You Expect from Your Assurance Vie in 2026?
The question of returns is naturally the first one savers ask. "How much will my assurance vie earn me?" The answer is far from one-size-fits-all: it depends on your allocation between fonds euros and unites de compte, the quality of your contract, your investment horizon, and your risk tolerance.
In 2026, the landscape is mixed: fonds euros still benefit from the rise in interest rates (market average around 2.50%, but the best contracts reach 3.50% or more with bonuses), while financial markets offer long-term return prospects of 6% to 10% for diversified allocations in unites de compte. Let us analyze the different scenarios in detail.
Fonds Euros Returns in 2026
The Current Landscape: Actual Rates Paid in 2024
Average fonds euros returns have undergone significant changes in recent years:
| Year | Average Return | Best Funds | Worst Funds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 1.50% | 2.80% | 0.75% |
| 2020 | 1.30% | 2.70% | 0.50% |
| 2021 | 1.30% | 2.75% | 0.50% |
| 2022 | 2.00% | 3.20% | 1.00% |
| 2023 | 2.50% | 3.50% | 1.30% |
| 2024 | 2.50% | 4.50% | 1.50% |
| 2026 (forecast) | 2.40-2.80% | 3.00-4.00% | 1.50-2.00% |
Actual Returns of Major Fonds Euros in 2024
Here are the rates actually paid by the main fonds euros on the market for 2024:
| Fonds euros | Insurer | Access contract | 2024 Rate | 2023 Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fonds Euro Garance | Garance | Garance Epargne | 3.50% | 3.50% |
| Euro Nouvelle Generation | Spirica | Linxea Spirit 2 | 3.13% | 3.13% |
| Euro Exclusif | Generali | Boursorama Vie | 3.10% (excl. bonus) | 3.10% |
| Suravenir Opportunites 2 | Suravenir | Linxea Avenir 2 | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| Suravenir Rendement | Suravenir | Linxea Avenir 2, Fortuneo Vie | 2.50% | 2.20% |
| Fonds Euro SwissLife | SwissLife | Placement-direct Vie | 3.05% | 2.30% |
| Fonds Euro General Cardif | BNP Cardif | Lucya Cardif | 3.00% | 3.00% |
| Euro Classique Cardif | BNP Cardif | Multiplacements 2 (BNP) | 2.20-3.00% | 2.00% |
| Fonds Euro Sogecap | Sogecap | Sequoia (SG) | 2.00-2.50% | 1.80% |
| Fonds Euro Predica | Predica | Predissime 9 (CA) | 1.80-2.40% | 1.70% |
Analysis of the gaps: the difference between the best fonds euros (Garance at 3.50%) and the worst (Predica basic version at 1.80%) reaches 1.70 points. On a balance of 100,000 EUR, that represents 1,700 EUR in return difference every year, simply by choosing the right contract.
The Euro Exclusif fonds euros from Generali (Boursorama Vie) is particularly attractive thanks to its bonus system: with 60% of the contract in unites de compte, the return can reach approximately 4.20% (3.10% base + 1.10% bonus).
The Spirica Euro Nouvelle Generation (Linxea Spirit 2) shows a solid 3.13%, but it should be noted that its guarantee covers 98% of capital (not 100%) and that management fees of 2% are deducted from the gross return. The displayed return is nonetheless net of these fees.
Why Returns Have Improved
The spectacular rise in the ECB's key rates between 2022 and 2024 (from 0% to 4.50%) allowed insurers to:
- Reinvest maturing bonds at much higher rates (3.5% to 4.5% for 10-year OATs, compared to 0% in 2020)
- Draw on reserves (PPB) to boost returns and remain competitive against the Livret A (3% in 2024). Garance has a particularly comfortable PPB (approximately 5% of assets under management), which explains the consistency of its 3.50% return.
- Offer bonuses linked to unites de compte investment to attract savings flows (such as the Generali Euro Exclusif bonus reaching up to +1.10%)
Outlook for 2025-2026
With the start of the ECB's rate-cutting cycle initiated in late 2024, the outlook is evolving:
- Optimistic scenario: the ECB maintains higher rates longer than expected; fonds euros remain at 2.50-3.50%. Funds with a high PPB (Garance, Generali) maintain levels close to 2024.
- Central scenario: gradual rate cuts; fonds euros average 2.20-2.80%. The best (Garance, Spirica, Generali) stay above 3%.
- Pessimistic scenario: rapid rate cuts; return to 1.80-2.20% by 2026 for standard fonds euros. But new-generation funds (Spirica, Suravenir Opportunites) could maintain 2.50%+.
Our analysis: even in the pessimistic scenario, fonds euros will remain significantly above their 2020-2021 lows thanks to the stock of high-yield bonds acquired in 2023-2024.
Unites de Compte Returns: Analysis by Asset Class
International Equities
Equity markets remain the primary long-term performance driver. Here are the historical returns:
| Index | 2024 Performance | 5-yr avg. (annualized) | 10-yr avg. (annualized) | 20-yr avg. (annualized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSCI World (ETF CW8) | +17.8% | +12.1% | +10.8% | +8.9% |
| S&P 500 (ETF S&P 500) | +23.4% | +14.5% | +12.7% | +10.2% |
| CAC 40 (ETF CAC) | +3.2% | +8.4% | +7.9% | +6.4% |
| MSCI Emerging Markets | +8.1% | +3.8% | +4.2% | +7.1% |
| Nasdaq-100 | +28.5% | +18.2% | +16.4% | +13.8% |
Important: these returns do not repeat every year. Equity markets experience years of sharp decline (-30% to -50% during crises). Equity investing is only suitable for long-term horizons (minimum 8-10 years).
Access via assurance vie: ETFs tracking these indices are available on the best online contracts. On Linxea Spirit 2, you will find the Amundi MSCI World ETF (CW8, 0.18% fees), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (0.07%), and Amundi MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (0.20%). On Lucya Cardif, more than 50 ETFs are available.
Real Estate (SCPI via Assurance Vie)
SCPIs (Societes Civiles de Placement Immobilier) accessible through assurance vie offer regular returns:
| SCPI | 2024 Return (TDVM) | 2023 Return | Available via |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corum Origin | 6.06% | 6.06% | Linxea Spirit 2, Placement-direct |
| Remake Live | 7.79% | 7.64% | Linxea Spirit 2 |
| Iroko Zen | 7.12% | 7.12% | Linxea Spirit 2 |
| Epargne Pierre | 5.28% | 5.28% | Linxea Avenir 2 |
| Primovie | 4.21% | 4.52% | Multiple contracts |
Note: within assurance vie, SCPI returns are generally reduced by the contract's management fees (0.50% to 0.75%) and income is reinvested (no direct distribution). Additionally, some insurers pass through only 85% to 100% of rental income to the subscriber. Linxea Spirit 2 (Spirica) is known for passing through 100% of rental income, making it the benchmark contract for SCPI investing via assurance vie.
Bonds and Diversified Funds
| Fund Type | 2024 Return | Expected 2026 Return | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eurozone government bond funds | 4.2% | 3.0-4.0% | Low |
| Investment grade corporate bond funds | 5.8% | 4.0-5.5% | Moderate |
| High yield bond funds | 8.2% | 5.0-7.0% | High |
| Conservative diversified funds | 5.1% | 3.5-5.0% | Low to moderate |
| Balanced diversified funds | 7.8% | 4.5-7.0% | Moderate |
| Dynamic diversified funds | 12.3% | 6.0-10.0% | High |
Robo-Advisor Performance in 2024
ETF-based managed allocations delivered solid returns in 2024:
| Robo-advisor | Cautious profile | Balanced profile | Dynamic profile | All-in fees |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yomoni | +5.2% | +8.7% | +13.4% | 1.60% |
| Nalo | +4.8% | +8.2% | +12.9% | 1.55% |
| Ramify | +5.5% | +9.1% | +14.2% | 1.30% |
| Goodvest (SRI) | +4.1% | +7.5% | +11.8% | 1.70% |
Ramify stands out with slightly higher returns, partly due to integrating SCPI and private equity into its allocations, and the lowest fees on the market (1.30%).
Overall Performance by Investor Profile
10-Year Return Simulation
To illustrate the impact of asset allocation on performance, let us take 4 typical profiles with an initial investment of 50,000 euros:
Safety-first profile (100% fonds euros)
- Denis, 67, retired in Dijon
- Contract: Garance Epargne (fonds euros Garance at 3.50%)
- Hypothetical average return: 3.00% per year (conservative assumption over 10 years)
- Capital after 10 years: 67,196 euros (+17,196 euros in gains)
Cautious profile (60% fonds euros / 30% bonds / 10% equities)
- Helene, 55, teacher in Rouen
- Contract: Boursorama Vie (Euro Exclusif at 3.10%) with 40% in unites de compte to benefit from the fonds euros bonus
- Hypothetical average return: 3.80% per year
- Capital after 10 years: 72,695 euros (+22,695 euros in gains)
Balanced profile (30% fonds euros / 40% equities / 20% real estate / 10% bonds)
- Christophe, 42, marketing manager in Rennes
- Contract: Linxea Spirit 2 (Euro Nouvelle Generation + MSCI World ETF + SCPI Remake Live)
- Hypothetical average return: 5.50% per year
- Capital after 10 years: 85,133 euros (+35,133 euros in gains)
Dynamic profile (10% fonds euros / 70% equities / 10% real estate / 10% bonds)
- Lea, 28, engineer in Toulouse
- Contract: Linxea Spirit 2 self-managed or Yomoni dynamic profile (1.60% all-in fees)
- Hypothetical average return: 7.50% per year
- Capital after 10 years: 103,946 euros (+53,946 euros in gains)
The difference between the safety-first and dynamic profiles is 36,750 euros over 10 years on the same initial investment. Over 20 years, this gap widens further thanks to the power of compound interest.
The Impact of Duration on Performance
Consider the case of Lea, 28, who invests 200 euros per month in a dynamic allocation (hypothetical 7% return) via Yomoni or self-managed on Linxea Spirit 2:
| Investment Duration | Total Deposited | Estimated Final Capital | Gains | Multiple |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 years | 12,000 euros | 14,476 euros | 2,476 euros | x1.2 |
| 10 years | 24,000 euros | 34,851 euros | 10,851 euros | x1.5 |
| 15 years | 36,000 euros | 63,830 euros | 27,830 euros | x1.8 |
| 20 years | 48,000 euros | 104,893 euros | 56,893 euros | x2.2 |
| 25 years | 60,000 euros | 162,727 euros | 102,727 euros | x2.7 |
| 30 years | 72,000 euros | 243,994 euros | 171,994 euros | x3.4 |
At 58, Lea would have approximately 244,000 euros for only 72,000 euros deposited. Compound interest represents 70% of the final capital.
Strategies to Optimize Your Assurance Vie Returns
Strategy 1: Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)
Rather than investing a large sum all at once (timing risk), gradual investment involves investing a fixed amount at regular intervals. This method smooths out the purchase price and reduces the impact of volatility.
Example with Sebastien, 36, IT project manager in Paris:
Sebastien inherits 60,000 euros and wants to invest them in unites de compte on Linxea Spirit 2 (Amundi MSCI World ETF). Instead of investing everything at once, he schedules a 5,000 euro investment each month for 12 months.
| Month | Amount Invested | Unit Price (index) | Units Purchased |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5,000 euros | 100 | 50.00 |
| February | 5,000 euros | 95 | 52.63 |
| March | 5,000 euros | 88 | 56.82 |
| April | 5,000 euros | 92 | 54.35 |
| May | 5,000 euros | 98 | 51.02 |
| June | 5,000 euros | 103 | 48.54 |
| July | 5,000 euros | 107 | 46.73 |
| August | 5,000 euros | 104 | 48.08 |
| September | 5,000 euros | 110 | 45.45 |
| October | 5,000 euros | 108 | 46.30 |
| November | 5,000 euros | 112 | 44.64 |
| December | 5,000 euros | 115 | 43.48 |
Total invested: 60,000 euros Total units: 588.04 Average purchase price per unit: 102.03 Final value (at 115): 588.04 x 115 = 67,625 euros Gain: +7,625 euros (+12.7%)
If he had invested everything in January at 100: 600 units x 115 = 69,000 euros (+15%). Here, DCA underperformed because the market rose. But had the market declined, DCA would have protected him.
Strategy 2: Annual Rebalancing
Rebalancing involves periodically returning to your target allocation by selling assets that have risen the most and buying those that have fallen the most. It is a discipline that forces you to "buy low and sell high."
Example with Florence, 48, pharmacist in Angers:
Florence's target allocation on Linxea Spirit 2: 40% fonds euros (Euro Nouvelle Generation) / 40% equities (MSCI World ETF) / 20% real estate (SCPI Iroko Zen + Remake Live) Initial capital: 100,000 euros
After a year of strong equity gains (+20%) and stability elsewhere:
- Fonds euros: 41,000 euros (40,000 + 2.5% = 41,000) -> 37.6% of total
- Equities: 48,000 euros (40,000 + 20%) -> 44% of total
- Real estate: 20,800 euros (20,000 + 4%) -> 19% of total
- Total: 109,800 euros
Rebalancing: Florence switches 4,400 euros from equities to fonds euros and 1,000 euros to real estate to return to her 40/40/20 allocation. On Linxea Spirit 2, these switches are free and unlimited.
This discipline prevents overexposure to risky assets when markets are at their peak.
Strategy 3: Age-Based Allocation
Principle: gradually reduce risk as your investment horizon shortens.
| Age | Safe allocation (fonds euros + bonds) | Dynamic allocation (equities + real estate) |
|---|---|---|
| 25-35 | 20-30% | 70-80% |
| 35-45 | 30-40% | 60-70% |
| 45-55 | 40-55% | 45-60% |
| 55-65 | 55-70% | 30-45% |
| 65+ | 70-85% | 15-30% |
Horizon-based managed allocations in PERs (Linxea Spirit PER, Boursorama PER) automatically apply this progressive de-risking principle.
Strategy 4: Choosing Low-Fee Investment Options (ETFs)
Fees are the number-one enemy of long-term performance. Over 20 years, the difference between a fund charging 2% per year and an ETF at 0.30% is staggering.
Comparison for a 50,000 euro investment over 20 years (8% gross return):
| Scenario | Contract | Total annual fees | Final capital | Shortfall |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETF on online contract | Linxea Spirit 2 | 0.68% (0.50% + 0.18%) | 201,250 EUR | Benchmark |
| ETF on online bank | Boursorama Vie | 0.95% (0.75% + 0.20%) | 191,400 EUR | -9,850 EUR |
| Active fund on online contract | Linxea Avenir 2 | 2.10% (0.60% + 1.50%) | 155,200 EUR | -46,050 EUR |
| Active fund on bank contract | Predissime 9 (CA) | 2.76% (0.96% + 1.80%) | 137,900 EUR | -63,350 EUR |
Fees can cost up to 63,350 euros over 20 years in the worst case (in-house active fund on a bank contract). This is why choosing an online contract (Linxea Spirit 2, Lucya Cardif) with low-fee ETFs is decisive.
Strategy 5: Maximizing Fonds Euros Bonuses
Some insurers offer return bonuses on the fonds euros conditional on a minimum investment in unites de compte:
| Fonds euros | Contract | 2024 Base rate | Max. bonus | Condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro Exclusif | Boursorama Vie (Generali) | 3.10% | +1.10% (i.e., 4.20%) | 60% in unites de compte |
| Suravenir Rendement | Linxea Avenir 2, Fortuneo Vie | 2.50% | +0.60% (i.e., 3.10%) | 50% in unites de compte |
| Euro Nouvelle Generation | Linxea Spirit 2 (Spirica) | 3.13% | Built-in (dynamic allocation) | 30% in unites de compte min. |
| Fonds Euro SwissLife | Placement-direct Vie | 3.05% | +0.70% (depending on UC share) | 50% in unites de compte |
Optimization for Nicolas, 50, independent consultant in Bordeaux:
Nicolas has 100,000 euros on Boursorama Vie. He invests 40% (40,000 euros) in the Euro Exclusif fonds euros from Generali and 60% (60,000 euros) in diversified unites de compte (World ETF + SCPI).
- Fonds euros return with bonus: 3.10% + 1.10% = 4.20% on 40,000 euros = 1,680 euros
- Expected unites de compte return (6%): 60,000 x 6% = 3,600 euros
- Expected overall return: 5,280 euros, i.e., 5.28%
Without the bonus, the fonds euros return would be 3.10%: 1,240 euros instead of 1,680 euros. The bonus earns him 440 additional euros per year.
Returns After Taxation
Calculating the True Net Return (After Fees AND Taxation)
The announced return is always gross of taxation. To know the return you actually receive, you must deduct:
- Management fees (already deducted from the announced fonds euros return)
- Social contributions of 17.2% (deducted annually on fonds euros gains, or at withdrawal for unites de compte)
- Income tax (only upon withdrawal, depending on the contract's age)
True net return for different scenarios:
| Gross Return | After contract fees (0.60%) | After SC (17.2%) | After IT (contract > 8 yrs, with allowance) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50% | 2.50% (already net of fees) | 2.07% | ~2.00% |
| 3.50% | 3.50% | 2.90% | ~2.80% |
| 5.00% (UC) | 4.40% | 3.64% | ~3.50% |
| 7.00% (UC) | 6.40% | 5.30% | ~5.10% |
| 10.00% (UC) | 9.40% | 7.78% | ~7.50% |
Comparison with Other Investments After Taxation
| Investment | 2024 Gross Return | Net Return After Taxation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livret A | 3.00% | 3.00% (tax-exempt) | None |
| LDDS | 3.00% | 3.00% (tax-exempt) | None |
| AV fonds euros (average) | 2.50% | 2.07% | None |
| AV fonds euros (Garance) | 3.50% | 2.90% | None |
| AV fonds euros (Euro Exclusif + bonus) | 4.20% | 3.48% | None |
| PEL (opened in 2024) | 2.25% | 1.58% (flat tax) | None |
| Brokerage account equities (flat tax) | 8.00% | 5.60% | High |
| PEA equities (> 5 years) | 8.00% | 6.62% (SC only) | High |
| AV diversified UC (> 8 years) | 6.00% | ~5.00% | Moderate to high |
| Yomoni dynamic managed | 13.40% (2024) | ~11.10% (SC only > 8 yrs) | High |
Return Is Not Everything: Managing Risk
The Concept of Risk-Adjusted Return
A 10% return with swings of -30% to +40% is not comparable to a 4% return with swings of -1% to +6%. The Sharpe ratio measures excess return per unit of risk.
Maximum Drawdown
This is the largest decline a portfolio has experienced from peak to trough. Here are the historical maximum drawdowns by allocation:
| Allocation | Historical Max Drawdown | Recovery Time |
|---|---|---|
| 100% fonds euros | 0% (never a loss) | N/A |
| 30% UC / 70% fonds euros | -8% to -10% | 12-18 months |
| 50% UC / 50% fonds euros | -15% to -20% | 18-30 months |
| 70% UC / 30% fonds euros | -25% to -35% | 24-48 months |
| 100% equity UC | -40% to -55% | 36-72 months |
The key question to ask yourself: "If my portfolio lost X% of its value, could I withstand this drop without panicking and selling at the worst moment?"
Concrete example with Arnaud, 40, plumber in Clermont-Ferrand:
Arnaud has 60,000 euros in assurance vie on Linxea Spirit 2, split 50/50 between fonds euros (Euro Nouvelle Generation) and equity unites de compte (MSCI World ETF). In March 2020 (Covid), the equity portion fell 35%:
- Fonds euros: 30,000 euros (no loss, 2020 return of ~1.65%)
- Equity UC: 30,000 - 35% = 19,500 euros
- Total: 49,500 euros (-17.5%)
Arnaud had the discipline not to sell. By the end of 2020, his unites de compte had already recovered. By end of 2024, his UC were worth 52,000 euros. His total portfolio: 30,000 + 52,000 = 82,000 euros (+37% from his initial 60,000).
Had Arnaud sold in a panic in March 2020, he would have locked in a loss of 10,500 euros.
Mistakes That Drag Down Returns
Mistake 1: Market Timing
Attempting to buy at the bottom and sell at the top is a losing strategy for the vast majority of investors. Studies show that missing the 10 best trading days over a 20-year period cuts the final performance in half.
Mistake 2: Excessive Fees
Annual fees of 2.76% (Predissime 9 + Amundi active fund) instead of 0.68% (Linxea Spirit 2 + ETF) cost over 63,000 euros on a 50,000 euro initial investment over 20 years.
Mistake 3: Lack of Diversification
Concentrating investments in a single sector, country, or asset type significantly increases risk without necessarily increasing returns.
Mistake 4: Inaction
Many savers open a contract, deposit money, and then ignore it for years, never rebalancing or optimizing their allocation. A Predissime 9 contract opened 15 years ago with an unsuitable allocation and high-fee in-house active funds may have underperformed by tens of thousands of euros compared to an online contract with ETFs.
Mistake 5: Panic Selling During Downturns
Selling unites de compte during a market crash is the worst possible mistake. It means locking in a loss that was until then only theoretical (unrealized). Historically, markets have always recovered from their crises.
Action Plan to Optimize Your Returns in 2026
- Audit your contract: check fees, available options, and fonds euros return. If you are on a bank contract (Predissime 9, Sequoia, Nuances Plus), compare with Linxea Spirit 2, Lucya Cardif, or Boursorama Vie.
- Define your target allocation based on your age, time horizon, and risk tolerance
- Favor ETFs for the equity portion: Amundi MSCI World ETF (0.18%), iShares Core S&P 500 (0.07%), available on Linxea Spirit 2 and Lucya Cardif
- Set up scheduled deposits to invest regularly and automatically
- Rebalance once a year to maintain your target allocation (free on online contracts)
- Do not check your contract every day: long-term investing is done with peace of mind
- Take advantage of fonds euros bonuses: Euro Exclusif (Boursorama Vie) with 60% in UC to reach ~4.20%
- Diversify with SCPIs: Remake Live (7.79%), Iroko Zen (7.12%), Corum Origin (6.06%) available on Linxea Spirit 2
Conclusion
Your assurance vie returns in 2026 will depend above all on your choices: asset allocation, contract quality, investment discipline, and time horizon. Fonds euros provide a safety net at 2.50-3.50% (up to 4.20% with the Generali Euro Exclusif bonus), while unites de compte can generate 6% to 10% annualized over the long term.
The true enemy of returns is neither markets nor interest rates: it is excessive fees (2.76% on Predissime 9 + active funds vs. 0.68% on Linxea Spirit 2 + ETFs), inaction, and emotional decisions. A methodical, patient, and well-informed saver will systematically achieve better results than one chasing the "deal of the century" or changing strategy with every market tremor.
Disclaimer
The returns mentioned in this article are based on historical data and assumptions. They do not in any way constitute a guarantee of future performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing in unites de compte involves a risk of capital loss. Projections and simulations are provided for illustrative purposes and should not be interpreted as return promises. Before making any investment decision, consult a qualified financial professional.
Sources: Federation Francaise de l'Assurance (FFA), Banque de France, Euronext, MSCI, S&P Global, insurer press releases (Spirica, Suravenir, Generali, Garance, SwissLife, Predica, Sogecap), insurer annual reports, GoodValueForMoney, INSEE (inflation data), ECB (key rates).
